AI in Drug Discovery for Antimicrobial Resistance: Combating the Silent Pandemic

Authors
Affiliations

1 College of Business, Westcliff University, Irvine, CA 92614, USA

2 Doctorate in Business Administration (DBA), International American University, Los Angeles, CA 90010, USA

3 Department of Computer Science and Engineering, Daffodil International University, Birulia, Savar, Dhaka-1216

4 Department of Computer Science and Engineering, Jahangirnagar University, Kalabagan Rd, Savar 1342, Dhaka, Bangladesh

A B S T R A C T

Antimicrobial resistance (AMR) is a serious threat to global health and could render efforts aimed at keeping antibiotics working and killing millions of people each year ineffective. The presence of these weaknesses and our deficiencies in predicting potential drug targets opens new machine-learning fronts to the field of drug discovery, and they will likely deliver novel antibiotic drug leads (as well as repurposing of existing drugs). AI combating AMR: This study applies to algorithmic identification of effective compounds, prediction of resistance patterns, and computational drug repurposing. The results show that AI can do a lot to bring the discovery process and spending to an optimum state while improving specificity in combating AMR. We can integrate AI into drug discovery to slow the silent AMR pandemic.

DOI: https://doi.org/10.63471/jamsai24001 @ 2024 Journal of Advances in Medical Sciences and Artificial Intelligence (JAMSAI), C5K Research Publication

1. Introduction 
1.1 The Growing Threat of Antimicrobial Resistance (AMR)

Antimicrobial resistance (AMR) is one of the most significant public health crises of the 21st century and is a massive threat to global public health systems. AMR is caused when microorganisms, like bacteria, fungi, viruses, or parasites, develop resistance to the effects of antimicrobial drugs, making standard treatments no longer effective and increasing the chance of severe disease and death. The World Health Organization (WHO) estimates that AMR causes 1.27 million deaths per year and millions more through related complications from resistant infection (Liu et al., 2024). Without addressing it, AMR could cause 10 million deaths annually by 2050, more than cancer, according to projections.

AMR is an ongoing silent pandemic further exacerbated by the overuse and misuse of antibiotics in healthcare, agriculture, and veterinary medicine (Talat & Khan, 2023). In addition, the pharmaceutical industry faces formidable obstacles in creating novel antibiotics, such as high costs, extended development timescales, and the lower margin established on antimicrobial agents compared to other drugs. These barriers highlight the necessity for innovative ways of tackling AMR effectively.

1.2 Artificial Intelligence in Healthcare 

Many new healthcare possibilities have been created due to the use of Artificial intelligence (AI). Artificial intelligence, especially Machine Learning or Deep learning algorithms, has proven to work on large data sets, build complicated structures, and predict with immense efficiency (Pinto-Coelho, 2023). In healthcare, these involve knowing which medicine to give, giving the patient, analyzing medical images, discovering new medicines, and diagnosing (Ahmed et al., 2024). Therefore, given that the ability to overcome traditional bottlenecks in pharmaceutical research, including the discovery of new antibiotics, the prediction of resistance mechanisms, and the repurposing of existing drugs, is a strength of AI, this technology should be viewed as a natural ally for the war on AMR.

1.3 Objectives of the Research

This study aims to establish how AI can combat resistance to AMR in new molecular entity strategies:

  • Build AI models, which can be used to find new highly effective antibiotics to the resistant pathogens.
  • Predict bacterial resistance mechanisms using genomic data to target therapies.
  • Turn existing drugs into antimicrobials, avoiding most of the time and expense of developing new drugs. 

By accomplishing these objectives, the research aims to contribute to preventing and mitigating the threat of AMR globally and supporting the sustainability of effective antimicrobial therapies.

1.4 Current Challenges in Drug Discovery for AMR 

Current drug discovery approaches for AMR rely on lengthy laboratory experiments and clinical trials, both of which are time-consuming and expensive. Developing a single antibiotic can be very expensive, takes a lot of time and the rate of failure is high (Dissanayake, 2024). Furthermore, as with many pathogens, bacterial resistance evolves quickly and outstrips the development of new drugs, resulting in an ever more rapidly worsening situation. Lately, the pharmaceutical industry has also deprioritized the AMR crisis, as there is a smaller market potential for antibiotic development than for chronic disease medications.

1.5 AI-Powered Solutions for AMR

AI provides a paradigm shift from which drugs can be discovered, developed, and optimized. Advanced machine learning algorithms can process vast datasets of chemical compounds, genomic sequences, and clinical outcomes, enabling researchers to:

  • Identify molecular structures with antimicrobial properties.
  • Prevent in vitro simulation of drug interactions with bacterial targets.
  • Find resistance mechanisms and potential countermeasures.

These capabilities allow AI to accelerate the discovery process and substantially reduce the time and money spent on discovering new antibiotics.

1.6 Drug Repurposing with AI

Drug repurposing is discovering a new therapeutic use for an existing drug. This is mediated by AI that studies drug-target interactions, clusters compounds with similar pharmacological profiles, and predicts against resistant pathogens. For example, a previously approved deep learning model has antimicrobial potential, providing a cost-effective and expedited solution to confront AMR.

1.7 Resistance Mechanisms

AI models can also predict other resistance mechanisms using genomic data and lead to targeted therapy. For instance, genomic neural networks accurately identify the resistance genes and their phenotypes for precision medicine when trained on bacterial genomes.

1.8 Identifying Novel Antibiotics

Another important use of AI in AMR research is the discovery of new antibiotics (Rabaan et al., 2022). Conventional methods encompass testing many libraries of compounds with varying chemical properties, which is time-consuming. AI algorithms predict ADM activity based on molecular structure and bioactivity profiles extracted through chemical datasets, which are beyond the reach of a chemist's eyes and brain. One such case has been the discovery of Halicin using a deep learning model trained on chemical structure data with which to identify a potent antibiotic. The application of Halicin toward a broad spectrum, especially against drug-resistant pathogens such as Mycobacterium tuberculosis and Acinetobacter Baumannii, showed AI's promise in drug discovery.

1.9 Socioeconomic Implications of AMR

AMR has a very relevant social impact. These resistant infections add to healthcare costs, prolonging hospital stays and increasing the utility of more expensive secondary lines of drugs. In addition, the global economy is also at risk, with estimates that if AMR is not curtailed, global GDP could eventually be off by 3.8% from 2050, and economic losses could hit $100 trillion (Group, 2024). AI-driven drug discovery can help reduce this burden by ensuring effective antibiotics are available, thereby diminishing the economic impact of resistant infections.

1.10 Challenges and Considerations in the Ethical Domain

The promise of AI is excellent, but it has some significant challenges in drug discovery applications. The corresponding ethical considerations of data privacy, algorithmic bias, and fair distribution of AIgenerated solutions are included. AI tools must be available to low- and middle-income countries, which carry a disproportionate burden of AMR, for global health equity. In addition, the realities of complexity in biological systems and the possibility of unexpected side effects make the validation of AI-generated drug candidates in the preclinical and clinical realms equally rigorous.

1.11 Scope of the Research

This research focuses on the integration of AI into three critical areas of AMR drug discovery:

  • Discovering new antibiotics through the application of machine learning models on chemical and genomic data.
  • Predicting resistance mechanisms to guide drug discovery of targeted therapies.
  • New or improved drugs to be used as antimicrobials. 

The study emphasizes how AI can circumvent some of the central barriers of AMR research: On the AMR development front, it can speed up the timelines in discovery, improve precision, and improve costs.


2. Materials and Methods
2.1 Study Design

A mixed-methods approach was used to study how artificial intelligence (AI) and antimicrobial resistance (AMR) are used. The approach consisted of a quantitative and computational model representation provided by performance metrics and a qualitative representation based on literature and expert consultations. These methodologies were integrated partly to see the Big Picture of where AI can take us, as I explained above, with respect to drug discovery, resistance prediction, and drug repurposing.

Machine learning algorithms to quantify the analysis of sets of chemical compounds, bacterial genomes, and drug-target interactions. The efficacy of these algorithms (Natto et al., 2024) was assessed based on their performance metrics, including accuracy, mean absolute error (MAE), and time to discovery. I critically reviewed past research on the achievements of AI in AMR in the literature through the results of a case study on these successes and interviews with domain experts that reveal what practical challenges and ethical issues must be considered.

2.2 Data Sources 

The study relied on publicly available datasets and scientific literature, as outlined below:

  • Chemical Compound Libraries: Molecular structure and bioactivity profiles from the PubChem and ChEMBL databases were obtained. These datasets identified the antimicrobial properties of novel compounds.
  • Genomic Databases: The National Center for Biotechnology Information (NCBI) and the Comprehensive Antibiotic Resistance Database (CARD) were used to obtain bacterial genome sequences, including an annotation of resistance genes.
  • Drug-Target Interaction Data: Existing drugs and their molecular targets were accessed from DrugBank to be evaluated as candidate repurposing targets.
  • Literature Review: PubMed and Google Scholar were searched to obtain research articles, case studies, and reviews that contextualize findings and evaluate present progress in AI-driven AMR research.
2.3 AI Model Development

Three distinct AI models were developed and employed in this study:

2.3.1 Drug Discovery Model
  • Objective: To find new compounds that are active against infectious diseases.
  • Algorithm: The machine learning model was trained upon the known efficacy of molecular structures and the available data. The feature selection and predictive analysis were done using random forest and support vector machine (SVM) models.
2.3.2 Resistance Prediction Model 
  • Objective: To predict bacterial resistance mechanisms from genomic data.
  • Algorithm: We trained a neural network on annotated bacterial genomes to identify resistance genes and their associated phenotypes.
2.3.3 Drug Repurposing Model:
  • Objective: To repurpose drugs for antimicrobial use.
  • Algorithm: A deep learning model was applied to group drugs to cluster drugs with similar pharmacological profiles. Potential antimicrobial effects were predicted by analyzing drug-target interactions.
2.4 Experimental Procedure  

The experimental workflow consisted of five key steps shown in table 1.

Table 1. Experimental workflow

2.5 Evaluation Metrics

The performance of each AI model was evaluated using the following metrics:

  • Accuracy (%): The accuracy of the model.
  • Mean Absolute Error (MAE): Model precision (sum of the average magnitude of prediction errors).
  • Time to discovery (days): The time taken to identify exciting candidates spoke for itself.

The AI-driven approach was based on these metrics, which gave us a quantitative basis to assess the effectiveness thereof.

2.6 Data Representation

Key findings were organized into tabular form for easy reproducibility and visualization in Table 2. Table 3 shows the top drug candidates identified.

Table 2. AI Model Training Performance.

Table 3. Top Drug Candidates Identified.

2.7 Ethical Considerations

Ethical considerations were taken seriously throughout the study process. The study used anonymized publicly available datasets, and as such there were no privacy concerns. Diverse training datasets of bacterial species and resistance mechanisms were provided to address bias in AI algorithms. During the qualitative analysis phase, the potential societal impact of AI-generated drug candidates was on the fair distribution of antibiotics.

3. Results and Discussion
3.1 Overview of Findings 

These approaches of this work involved using AI to discover new antibiotics, discover new resistance mechanisms, and repurpose existing drugs against AMR. The outcomes reveal how AI can quickly advance the drug discovery process, estimate bacterial resistance, and identify drugs that may have antibiotic properties. This work consists of four sections, each with crucial findings and a chart that can be generated in Excel.

3.2 Results

3.2.1 Performance of AI Models

Table 4 shows the metrics of AI models, drug repurposing and resistance prediction.

Table 4. The metrics of AI models, drug repurposing and resistance prediction.

3.2.2 Identified Antibiotics and Repurposed Drugs

Eight compounds were selected from the drug discovery model with about 5 drugs with high antimicrobial potential and with table 5 showing list of candidates and Fig. 1 shows predicted efficacy.

Table 5. The metrics of AI models, drug repurposing and resistance prediction. 

Fig. 1. Predicted efficacy. 

3.2.3 Resistance Prediction Insights

The model of resistance prediction demonstrated potential key genes that defined the resistance of various bacterial strains and were used to create specific therapeutic strategies. Table 6 indicates the predicted resistance genes and the pathogens they belong to.

Table 6. The predicted resistance genes and the pathogens they belong to.

3.3 Discussion
3.3.1 Efficacy of AI Models

This study showed that AI could be relied on to predict efficient drug candidates with a high accuracy of the Drug Discovery Model at 92% and the Drug Repurposing Model at 90%. Further, low MAE demonstrates that the proposed models can predict the antimicrobial efficacy in the presented study. Such a result correlates with other research indicating that AI may help optimize drug discovery (Stokes et al., 2020). AI shortens the Time to Discovery by 30 days for new antibiotics and 20 days for repurposing drugs, given that the traditional approach takes longer than necessary.

3.3.2 Novel Antibiotics

The compounds identified have the potential to be used as resistant pathogens. Beta-lactam equivalency compounds include Compound A, which has 95% predicted efficacy and belongs to the beta-lactam class that has been established for broad-spectrum activity. Distinct from other cell growth models, this result highlights how AI can pick and choose compounds with high antimicrobial potential (Jana & Chiang, 2024). However, validation in the clinic is necessary to determine the efficacy and safety of these candidates. Fig. 2 shows resistance gene predictions.

Fig. 2. Resistance Gene Predictions.

3.3.3 Drug Repurposing

This study used the Drug Repurposing Model to identify five existing drugs with robust antimicrobial activity, including NSAIDs and antifungal agents. Repurposing provides a cost-effective alternative to traditional drug development pathways using data from previous safety and efficacy efforts. These findings suggest that repurposed drugs may complement the existing antibiotic armamentarium, especially for drug-resistant infections.

3.3.4 Resistance Mechanisms

The Resistance Prediction Model identified critical resistance genes, including blaTEM in E. coli and NDM-1 in K. pneumoniae. These genes showed resistance to Beta-lactams and carbapenems; therefore, targeted therapies are needed. Predicting resistance mechanisms allows tailored antibiotics to be developed, reducing the likelihood of treatment failure.

3.3.5 Broader Implications

The integration of AI in AMR research has several implications:

  • Healthcare Systems: In the future, AI-driven tools can help clinicians understand what is happening in a plate of sick patients and on a plate of sick patients and give real-time insights into drug efficacy and resistance patterns.
  • Pharmaceutical Industry: Based on that, AI is a valuable asset for companies, reducing the risk and cost of drug development.
  • Global Health: AI-generated solutions provide equitable access to the availability of antimicrobials, especially in low and middleincome countries. 
3.3.6 Future Directions and Limitations

While AI offers numerous advantages, this study acknowledges certain limitations:

  • Data Bias: The training datasets may not cover all bacterial species or resistance mechanisms.
  • Experimental Validation: Clinical application requires in vitro and in vivo validations of the predictions.

In future research, efforts should aim to integrate the complement of AI with the dizzying array of advanced technologies like CRISPR and high throughput screening to improve drug discovery efforts.

4. Conclusion 

Antimicrobial resistance (AMR) is a silent pandemic that threatens the global healthcare system without innovative solutions to prevent antimicrobial therapies from becoming a failure. Artificial intelligence (AI) has the potential to transform the battle against AMR, as this study demonstrates through drug discovery, predicting resistance, and repurposing old drugs. The Drug Discovery Model based on AI predicts novel antibiotic candidates with high predicted efficacy, while the Drug Repurposing Model proposes cost-effective approaches to complement the antimicrobial arsenal. Additionally, the Resistance Prediction Model predicted essential resistance genes to be used to develop targeted therapies. Using AI to accelerate the discovery timeline, reduce costs, and increase precision in discovery for AMR are orders of magnitude faster and more precise than traditional methods. Yet this field suffers from challenges, namely data bias and experimental validation, which must be overcome to fully realize AI in this field (Rehman, 2023). Future research should explore combining AI with the most advanced technologies and the first thing to get access to those innovations for everyone globally. Therefore, AI can potentially combat the growing and dangerous AMR threat. Using AI capacity, researchers, clinicians, and policymakers can aim toward a future where effective antimicrobial therapies remain the bedrock of any global health policy.

References 

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Pinto -Coelho, L. (2023). How Artificial Intelligence Is Shaping Medical Imaging Technology: A Survey of Innovations and Applications. Bioengineering , 10(12).

Talat, A., & Khan, A. U. (2023). Artificial intelligence as a smart approach to develop antimicrobial drug molecules: A paradigm to combat drug -resistant infections. Drug Discovery Today , 28(4), 103491. https://doi.org/https://doi.org/10.1016/j.drudis.2023.103491

Liu, G. -Y., Yu, D., Fan, M. -M., Zhang, X., Jin, Z. -Y., Tang, C., & Liu, X. -F. (2024). Antimicrobial resistance crisis: could artificial intelligence be the solution? Military Medical Research , 11(1), 7. https://doi.org/10.1186/s40779-024-00510-1

Talat, A., & Khan, A. U. (2023). Artificial intelligence as a smart approach to develop antimicrobial drug molecules: A paradigm to combat drug -resistant infections. Drug Discovery Today , 28(4), 103491. https://doi.org/https://doi.org/10.1016/j.drudis.2023.103491

Liu, G. -Y., Yu, D., Fan, M. -M., Zhang, X., Jin, Z. -Y., Tang, C., & Liu, X. -F. (2024). Antimicrobial resistance crisis: could artificial intelligence be the solution? Military Medical Research , 11(1), 7. https://doi.org/10.1186/s40779-024-00510-1

 

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